Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.098774 0.114199 0.131227 0.151420 0.174715 0.200751 0.232065
2025-12-21 0.074494 0.095185 0.120370 0.153280 0.195171 0.246750 0.315153
2025-12-28 0.063421 0.086900 0.117494 0.160280 0.218616 0.295463 0.404568
2026-01-04 0.055048 0.079852 0.114019 0.164521 0.237345 0.338709 0.490851
2026-01-11 0.048642 0.074131 0.110971 0.168100 0.254577 0.380820 0.579653
2026-01-18 0.043053 0.068578 0.107093 0.169439 0.268000 0.418150 0.665052
2026-01-25 0.037740 0.062592 0.101596 0.167257 0.275257 0.446320 0.738902
2026-02-01 0.032703 0.056307 0.094725 0.161795 0.276240 0.464164 0.797525
2026-02-08 0.029971 0.053441 0.092962 0.164343 0.290398 0.504479 0.897406
2026-02-15 0.027311 0.050330 0.090359 0.165010 0.301178 0.539898 0.992362
2026-02-22 0.025234 0.047981 0.088758 0.167151 0.314601 0.581000 1.101551
2026-03-01 0.022659 0.044392 0.084499 0.163874 0.317609 0.603458 1.178502
2026-03-08 0.020508 0.041394 0.081071 0.161901 0.323098 0.631536 1.270293
2026-03-15 0.019063 0.039609 0.079756 0.163880 0.336487 0.676087 1.399520
2026-03-22 0.018366 0.039239 0.081145 0.171364 0.361601 0.746043 1.587516
2026-03-29 0.017419 0.038230 0.081119 0.175897 0.381087 0.806597 1.762664
2026-04-05 0.016488 0.037141 0.080791 0.179724 0.399437 0.866585 1.943120
2026-04-12 0.015431 0.035650 0.079441 0.181156 0.412699 0.917062 2.108240
2026-04-19 0.014174 0.033557 0.076552 0.178823 0.417292 0.949105 2.235429
2026-04-26 0.012782 0.030993 0.072336 0.172984 0.413221 0.961381 2.318396
2026-05-03 0.012128 0.030098 0.071820 0.175708 0.429373 1.021186 2.519686
2026-05-10 0.011394 0.028923 0.070527 0.176420 0.440775 1.071041 2.702406
2026-05-17 0.010818 0.028074 0.069912 0.178709 0.456237 1.132031 2.919131